Sunday, March 9, 2014
Interesting strategic geo-political crisis in Crimea and Ukraine
Interesting to see how Putin's perceptions and calculations that the West including the US and the European Union as well as NATO is too weak, and unable to get unified... and took advantage of the lengthy diplomatic efforts of the West to advance into Crimea... which is a strategic peninsula for the Russian Federation because of its only warm-water naval base close to the Mediterranean Sea and the flashpoints of Syria and Egypt... I do not think that the Western or international coalition will be united. This is especially true because Western Europe is depending so much on Russian oil and natural gaz for its energy grid... It is interesting to see the Russian propaganda machine using WW II arguments and painting the new Ukrainian government as Nazis and fascists who have engineered a coup (Actually a people's revolution) to kick the corrupted government that was in place. Putin is also using the argument that the Russian-speaking minority in Crimea does not want the government change in Kiev, and is under attack from pro-Kiev elements. Thus far, there have been no report of such attacks. Putin is a former KGB officer and wants to retain its sphere of influence over some countries in Eastern Europe... like Georgia, and Ukraine... I believe that he is afraid that the Ukrainian people's revolution could spill into Russia, and also questions the high level of corruption in the Russian Federation. This is why Putin had to act pro-actively, and the international community is faced with a fait-accompli that will further decided by the results of the referendum in Crimea scheduled for next week-end! The West got out-smarted by Putin...once again as in Georgia. Interesting to see that NATO has deployed air force squadrons to Poland... Are we facing WW III? Some clashes between Russian and Ukrainian units could be the spark that would ignite the whole region... The next week will be a test between the Western governments and Putin... Let's hope that a diplomatic solution and a face-saving alternative for Putin can be negotiated. Crimea is going back to Russia... Will Putin invade the eastern regions of Ukraine?
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